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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester City logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Man City

Duran (16'), Rogers (65')
Cash (37'), Martinez (45+2'), McGinn (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Foden (90+3')
Lewis (47'), Gvardiol (84'), Grealish (87')

The Match

Match Report

Manchester City's horror run of form continues as they suffer a 2-1 defeat to Aston Villa in the Premier League on Saturday afternoon.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 1-2 Man Utd
Sunday, December 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
31.23% (0.837 0.84) 22.58% (0.192 0.19) 46.19% (-1.026 -1.03)
Both teams to score 65% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.49% (-0.485 -0.48)35.51% (0.488 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.44% (-0.541 -0.54)57.56% (0.544 0.54)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (0.251 0.25)22.72% (-0.249 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (0.37 0.37)56.39% (-0.366 -0.37)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.11% (-0.55 -0.55)15.89% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.89% (-1.026 -1.03)45.11% (1.03 1.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 31.23%
    Manchester City 46.19%
    Draw 22.58%
Aston VillaDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.29% (0.146 0.15)
1-0 @ 5.35% (0.168 0.17)
2-0 @ 3.96% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 9.84% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.71% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.11% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-4 @ 2.55% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.89% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-4 @ 0.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 46.19%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man City

Aston Villa
36.8%
Draw
26.1%
Manchester City
37.1%
383
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 31
Man City
4-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (11'), Foden (45+1', 62', 69')
Grealish (32')
Duran (20')
Luiz (38'), Chambers (90+4')
Dec 6, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 15
Aston Villa
1-0
Man City
Bailey (74')
Watkins (60'), Kamara (87')

Stones (45'), Lewis (53')
Feb 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 23
Man City
3-1
Aston Villa
Rodri (4'), Gundogan (39'), Mahrez (45+1' pen.)
Watkins (61')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 6
Aston Villa
1-1
Man City
Bailey (74')
Cash (26'), Digne (71')
May 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 38
Man City
3-2
Aston Villa
Gundogan (76', 81'), Rodri (78')
Cash (37'), Coutinho (69')
Mings (49'), Nakamba (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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