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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Aston Villa logo

Newcastle
vs.
Aston Villa

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Newcastle United could line up for Thursday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Ipswich 0-4 Newcastle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Aston Villa

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Man City
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We say: Newcastle United 2-1 Aston Villa

 Newcastle (16) and Aston Villa (15) come into this festive contest having lost more Premier League games on Boxing Day than any other clubs in the competition's history. A lesser power away from home, Villa could now draw level with their hosts in that dubious ranking, as the Magpies are flying high after recovering their form in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 26.33% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.55%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawAston Villa
50.71% (-0.558 -0.56) 22.96% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03) 26.33% (0.583 0.58)
Both teams to score 59.88% (0.68 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (0.643 0.64)40.68% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (0.657 0.66)63.06% (-0.662 -0.66)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (0.034999999999997 0.03)16.19% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33% (0.065999999999995 0.07)45.67% (-0.07 -0.07)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.77999999999999 0.78)28.55% (-0.784 -0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66% (0.969 0.97)64.34% (-0.973 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 50.71%
    Aston Villa 26.33%
    Draw 22.96%
Newcastle UnitedDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.42% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 50.71%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.96%
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.102 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 26.33%

Who will win Thursday's Premier League clash between Newcastle and Aston Villa?

Newcastle United
Draw
Aston Villa
Newcastle United
54.5%
Draw
28.8%
Aston Villa
16.7%
66
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2024 8.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
1-3
Newcastle
Watkins (71')
Kamara (39'), Luiz (72'), McGinn (77'), Zaniolo (90+5')
Schar (32', 36'), Moreno (52' og.)
Gordon (90+4')
> Match Report
Aug 12, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newcastle
5-1
Aston Villa
Tonali (6'), Isak (16', 58'), Wilson (77'), Barnes (90+1')
Botman (45+9'), Gordon (53'), Guimaraes (67'), Tonali (90+2')
Diaby (11')
Luiz (6'), Digne (32'), Martinez (45+9'), Cash (48')
> Match Report
Jul 24, 2023 12am
Club Friendlies
Newcastle
3-3
Aston Villa
Anderson (28'), Isak (45'), Wilson (55')
Joelinton (87'), Burn (94')
Watkins (7'), Buendia (11', 48')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 31
Aston Villa
3-0
Newcastle
Ramsey (11'), Watkins (64', 83')
> Match Report
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Newcastle
4-0
Aston Villa
Wilson (45+5' pen., 56'), Joelinton (59'), Almiron (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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