We said: Aston Villa Women 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Women
With the two sides separated by just one point, we expect Sunday's contest to be a closely-fought affair, and while Aston Villa will want to claim their first home win of the WSL season, we think that they will have to settle for a draw against a Brighton team that usually fare well in away games against the Villans.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 15.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.08%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.