West Ham2 - 3Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, November 12 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, November 12 at 2pm in Women's Super League
We said: West Ham United Women 1-3 Aston Villa Women
While Aston Villa may be a point behind West Ham, they would have received a huge confidence boost from last Sunday's victory over Bristol City, and we think that they will build upon that result by claiming all three points against the Hammers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 0-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
19.28% ( 0.22) | 21.24% ( 0.17) | 59.48% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.99% ( -0.43) | 41% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.6% ( -0.44) | 63.4% ( 0.44) |
West Ham United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.08% ( -0.02) | 34.91% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.35% ( -0.02) | 71.65% ( 0.02) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.56% ( -0.25) | 13.44% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.59% ( -0.51) | 40.41% ( 0.51) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
2-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.28% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.34% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 59.48% |
How you voted: West Ham vs Aston Villa
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chelsea WomenChelsea | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 23 | 24 |
2 | Manchester City WomenMan City | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 19 |
3 | Brighton & Hove Albion WomenBrighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 16 |
4 | Arsenal WomenArsenal | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
5 | Manchester United WomenMan Utd | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
6 | Liverpool WomenLiverpool | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
7 | Tottenham Hotspur WomenSpurs | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 7 |
8 | Aston Villa WomenAston Villa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
9 | Everton WomenEverton | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 6 |
10 | Leicester City WomenLeicester | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 5 |
11 | West Ham United WomenWest Ham | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
12 | Crystal Palace WomenCrystal Palace | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 5 |
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