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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Inter Miami

Atlanta
2 - 2
Inter Miami

Lobzhanidze (56'), Miranchuk (84')
McCarty (15')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ruiz (29'), Campana (59')
Weigandt (10'), Campana (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 0-2 Nashville
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 Inter Miami

Inter Miami looked unbeatable without Messi, and with him, they should be just as deadly and difficult to keep pace with for 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 49.62%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.68%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
49.62% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 22.02% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 28.36% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 65.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.44% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.51% (0.0039999999999978 0)56.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)14.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.81% (0.026000000000003 0.03)42.19% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)23.98% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)58.22% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 49.62%
    Inter Miami 28.36%
    Draw 22.02%
Atlanta UnitedDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 9.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 6.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.91% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 49.62%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 28.36%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Inter Miami

Atlanta United
11.0%
Draw
3.3%
Inter Miami
85.7%
91
Head to Head
May 30, 2024 12.30am
Sep 16, 2023 10pm
Atlanta
5-2
Inter Miami
Muyumba (36'), Miller (41' og.), Lennon (44'), Giakoumakis (76'), Wolff (89')
Muyumba (29'), Abram (52')
Campana (25', 53')
Farias (57'), Stefanelli (86')
Jun 19, 2022 8pm
Apr 24, 2022 6pm
Inter Miami
2-1
Atlanta
Campana (28'), Duke (64')
Mabika (55'), Yedlin (74'), Marsman (84'), Rodriguez (86')
Cisneros (13')
Lennon (17')
rhs 2.0
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