MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:00:05| >> :60:10:10:
Atletico Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 13, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Arena MRV
Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 0
Sao Paulo


Alonso (20'), Saravia (64'), Rafinha (77'), Lyanco (77'), Franco (84'), Rubens (90+2')
FT

Gustavo (43'), Rato (54'), Luciano (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Gremio 2-3 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Sao Paulo (Atletico Mineiro advance 2-0 on aggregate)

 Over the past few weeks, Mineiro have found a level of consistency, and we believe that momentum will carry them beyond this phase of the tournament against a Sao Paulo side struggling to score in recent games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
43.54% (0.485 0.48) 28.16% (0.356 0.36) 28.3% (-0.846 -0.85)
Both teams to score 45.27% (-1.412 -1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.58% (-1.566 -1.57)60.42% (1.562 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.44% (-1.2 -1.2)80.55% (1.196 1.2)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.48 -0.48)27.56% (0.478 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-0.621 -0.62)63.08% (0.618 0.62)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (-1.527 -1.53)37.51% (1.524 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (-1.527 -1.53)74.29% (1.524 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 43.53%
    Sao Paulo 28.29%
    Draw 28.15%
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.59 0.59)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.33% (0.584 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.13% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
68.4%
Draw
21.1%
Sao Paulo
10.5%
38
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2024 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Sao Paulo
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Rafinha (61'), Arboleda (90+6')
Battaglia (90+2')
Alonso (46'), Otavio (63'), Gomes (77'), Saravia (81')
Jul 12, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Sao Paulo
Vargas (13'), Paulinho (45+3')
Battaglia (9'), Hulk (44')
Moura (18')
Zubeldia (16'), Hulk (83')
Franco (59')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 12am
Gameweek 37
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Sao Paulo
Hulk (77'), Paulinho (90+4')
Arana (65'), Hulk (78'), Mendes (89'), Paulinho (90+5')
Luciano (90+1' pen.)
Araujo (46')
Aug 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Sao Paulo
0-2
Atletico Mineiro

Rafinha (8'), Nestor (45+2'), Diego (62'), David (72'), Maia (80'), Beraldo (90+5')
Hulk (4'), Pavon (69' pen.)
Jemerson (1'), Battaglia (60'), Saravia (62'), Pavon (70'), Mendes (90+1')
Nov 2, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Sao Paulo
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Calleri (40', 45+5')
Vargas (25' pen., 81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!