Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo0 - 1Atletico Mineiro
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Sao Paulo and Atletico Mineiro.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Vitoria
Sunday, August 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 25 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
35
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-2 Fluminense
Sunday, August 25 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 25 at 1am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 45.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
45.87% ( 0.07) | 27.19% ( -0.02) | 26.94% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.28% ( 0.06) | 57.72% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.53% ( 0.05) | 78.47% ( -0.05) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% ( 0.06) | 25.13% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.16% ( 0.08) | 59.84% ( -0.08) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.85% ( 0) | 37.15% ( 0) |