MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 10:58:31| >> :60:191:191:
Sao Paulo
Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 24, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo

Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Aguia de Maraba

Moura (36' pen.), Erick (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

dos Santos Almeida (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa do Brasil clash between Sao Paulo and Aguia de Maraba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Barcelona
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Sao Paulo 3-0 Aguia de Maraba (Sao Paulo to win 6-1 on aggregate)

Regardless of what team is selected for this contest, Sao Paulo should have more than enough quality to successfully negotiate this tie, keeping a clean sheet in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 88.8%. A draw had a probability of 8.9% and a win for Aguia de Maraba had a probability of 2.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (16.37%) and 1-0 (12.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (4.25%), while for an Aguia de Maraba win it was 0-1 (1.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sao Paulo.

Result
Sao PauloDrawAguia de Maraba
88.8% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04) 8.92% (0.0191 0.02) 2.29% (0.017 0.02)
Both teams to score 25.09% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.12% (0.031999999999996 0.03)38.88% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.81% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)5.8% (0.0019 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.7% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.3% (0.004999999999999 0)
Aguia de Maraba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
26.64% (0.132 0.13)73.36% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
3.91% (0.042 0.04)96.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 88.78%
    Aguia de Maraba 2.29%
    Draw 8.92%
Sao PauloDrawAguia de Maraba
2-0 @ 17.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 16.37% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-0 @ 11.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 6.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.34% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.07% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.015 0.02)
6-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 88.78%
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-1 @ 3.75% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 8.92%
0-1 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 2.29%

Head to Head
May 2, 2024
11.30pm
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Sao Paulo
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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