Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio da Madeira
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
Result |
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | San Lorenzo |
59.83% ( -0.05) | 24.61% ( 0.01) | 15.56% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 39.57% ( 0.07) |