Atletico Mineiro1 - 0San Lorenzo
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
for
We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 San Lorenzo (Atletico Mineiro advance 2-1 on aggregate)
Like the first leg, we anticipate another close encounter between these sides, but ultimately, we have more confidence in the overall quality of Mineiro than San Lorenzo. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | San Lorenzo |
59.83% ( -0.05) | 24.61% ( 0.01) | 15.56% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 39.57% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.25% ( 0.04) | 59.75% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.95% ( 0.03) | 80.04% ( -0.03) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.07% ( -0) | 19.93% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.92% ( -0.01) | 52.07% ( 0.01) |
San Lorenzo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.42% ( 0.09) | 50.58% ( -0.09) |