MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 21:59:13| >> :600:494683:494683:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Austria national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Raiffeisen Arena
Norway national football team

Austria
5 - 1
Norway

Arnautovic (8', 49' pen.), Lienhart (58'), Posch (62'), Gregoritsch (71')
Posch (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sorloth (39')
Berge (28'), Hanche-Olsen (47'), Myhre (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Austria and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Austria 4-0 Kazakhstan
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Slovenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Austria 2-2 Norway

 It was a close contest when these sides met in September, with Norway just snatching victory thanks to an 80th-minute winner. Given home advantage on this occasion, Ralf Rangnick's hard-running Austria side should at least emerge with a draw, keeping them in the mix for a top-two finish next month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Norway had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Norway win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawNorway
45.51% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 24.02% (0.026 0.03) 30.47% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 59.28% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.15% (-0.122 -0.12)42.84% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.75% (-0.123 -0.12)65.25% (0.126 0.13)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)19.02% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.41% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)50.59% (0.101 0.1)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)26.79% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)62.07% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Austria 45.51%
    Norway 30.47%
    Draw 24.01%
AustriaDrawNorway
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.01%
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.42% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 30.47%

How you voted: Austria vs Norway

Austria
37.9%
Draw
30.8%
Norway
31.3%
195
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> Preview
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> Preview
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> Preview
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