After a very impressive attacking display in Ljubljana on Thursday night, Norway will be brimming with confidence and should have no problem in claiming all three points, as most involved with the Lions may have one eye on events in Vienna.
Kazakhstan have lost 11 of their last 14 away games, and without a goal yet in the group, another difficult night looms for a nation that are slightly out of their depth, and a long way from home.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 82.13%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 5.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.63%) and 1-0 (10.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.88%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
-1.63) 
0.88) 
