Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
50.33% ( 0.02) | 24.79% ( -0.02) | 24.88% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% ( 0.06) | 49.94% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.07% ( 0.06) | 71.93% ( -0.06) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.14% ( 0.03) | 19.86% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.04% ( 0.05) | 51.95% ( -0.05) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.34% ( 0.03) | 34.66% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.62% ( 0.03) | 71.38% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 50.32% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.13% Total : 24.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 38 |
2 | Livingston | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 33 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 31 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 25 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 18 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 16 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 31 | -23 | 6 |
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