MX23RW : Wednesday, November 13 20:01:45| >> :60:113:113:
Dunfermline Athletic
Scottish Challenge Cup | Quarter-Finals
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
East End Park
Alloa Athletic

Dunfermline
1 - 0
Alloa

McCann (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McKay (25'), Scougall (30'), O'Donnel (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish Challenge Cup clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Alloa Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Queen's Park 2-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: QotS 1-1 Alloa
Saturday, November 9 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One

We said: Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Alloa Athletic

 Alloa Athletic have lost their last five games against Dunfermline and will need to be at their best on Tuesday as they look to keep their cup dreams alive. However, home advantage gives McPake's side an extra edge here and we are backing them to extend their dominance over Alloa. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Dunfermline Athletic.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawAlloa Athletic
51.05% (0.2 0.2) 24.27% (0.162 0.16) 24.67% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 53.79% (-0.896 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-1.009 -1.01)47.96% (1.01 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-0.936 -0.94)70.14% (0.937 0.94)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21% (-0.307 -0.31)18.79% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.79% (-0.518 -0.52)50.21% (0.519 0.52)
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (-0.848 -0.85)33.76% (0.849 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (-0.934 -0.93)70.42% (0.935 0.94)
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 51.05%
    Alloa Athletic 24.67%
    Draw 24.26%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawAlloa Athletic
1-0 @ 10.6% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87% (0.196 0.2)
3-1 @ 5.37% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 51.05%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.261 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.23% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.89% (0.129 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.67%

How you voted: Dunfermline vs Alloa

Dunfermline Athletic
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Alloa Athletic
5.9%
17
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Alloa
0-2
Dunfermline
Wighton (64'), McGowan (68')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Dunfermline
2-0
Alloa
Hamilton (41'), O'Hara (68')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Alloa
0-3
Dunfermline
Comrie (30'), Todd (45+2'), Wighton (79')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dunfermline
1-0
Alloa
Todd (74')
Allan (90+1')

Sammon (11')
Jul 23, 2022 3pm
Group Stage
Dunfermline
1-1
Alloa
Hamilton (20')
Sammon (59')
rhs 2.0
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