MX23RW : Thursday, January 9 15:09:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Burnley logo

Blackburn
0 - 1
Burnley


Batth (31'), Hyam (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flemming (60')
Laurent (41'), Cullen (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Stoke
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Burnley

Burnley have proven to be a tough team to beat, having avoided defeat in each of their last 12 Championship matches. We think that they will continue that run by claiming a narrow victory in Saturday's derby, especially as they have won each of their last four away matches against Rovers. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBurnley
33.08% (-0.675 -0.68) 27.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 39.27% (0.661 0.66)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.81% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)57.19% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.95% (-0.119 -0.12)78.04% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.529 -0.53)32.24% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.603 -0.6)68.73% (0.599 0.6)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.62% (0.31100000000001 0.31)28.38% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.88% (0.39 0.39)64.12% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 33.07%
    Burnley 39.27%
    Draw 27.64%
Blackburn RoversDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 10.35% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.64%
0-1 @ 11.52% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.22% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.26% (0.165 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.095 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.028 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 39.27%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Burnley

Blackburn Rovers
31.0%
Draw
15.5%
Burnley
53.5%
71
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Burnley
1-1
Blackburn
Foster (10')
Mejbri (42'), Foster (77'), Pears (90+5')
Weimann (23')
Gueye (31'), Travis (34'), Brittain (49'), Carter (53'), Hedges (66'), Koleosho (67'), Egan Riley (90+6')
Gueye (57')
Apr 25, 2023 8pm
Nov 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Burnley
3-0
Blackburn
Barnes (55', 81'), Zaroury (74')
Aug 23, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Blackburn
0-2
Burnley

Bennett (89')
Cork (27'), Brady (45')
Bardsley (55'), Long (64')
Mar 5, 2016 12.30pm
Burnley
1-0
Blackburn
Gray (15' pen.)
Lowton (63'), Ulvestad (92')

Gomez (13'), Lenihan (52'), Bennett (91'), Watt (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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