We said: Boavista 2-0 AVS
With just one point separating Boavista and AVS at the wrong end of the table, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Estadio do Bessa as both sides look to get the better of each other and begin their surge from the danger zone.
While Bacci's men have been disappointing at home this season, we are backing them to see off the newcomers, who are without a win in their last eight outings.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for AVS had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.