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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Porto

AVS
0 - 5
Porto


Assuncao (41'), Grau (66')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Gonzalez (22'), Omorodion (32', 38', 45+1'), Mora Carvalho (88')
Bruno (42'), Varela (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between AVS and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sandinenses 0-2 AVS
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Taca de Portugal

Porto

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Hoffenheim
Thursday, October 24 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: AVS 0-3 Porto

 Porto have picked up two impressive cup victories since their last league outing and will be licking their lips as they take on an inexperienced AVA side who have struggled to impose themselves in the top flight. While AVS can take pride in their start to life in the big leagues and will look to cause an upset on Monday, they are no match for Bruno's men, who we are backing to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for AVS had a probability of 13.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.84%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
AVSDrawPorto
13.55% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 20.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 65.56% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Both teams to score 44.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (0.025000000000006 0.03)49.78% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (0.023 0.02)71.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
AVS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)47.49% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.14% (0.036999999999999 0.04)82.85% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.71% (0.0019999999999953 0)42.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    AVS 13.55%
    Porto 65.56%
    Draw 20.89%
AVSDrawPorto
1-0 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 3.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 13.55%
1-1 @ 9.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 20.89%
0-1 @ 13.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 12.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.56% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 8.3% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-4 @ 4.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-5 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 65.56%

How you voted: AVS vs Porto

AVS
5.8%
Draw
11.6%
Porto
82.6%
86
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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