Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 15, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
AVS1 - 1Benfica
We said: AVS 0-3 Benfica
AVS and Benfica come into Sunday's match having had contrasting seasons so far, and the visitors are in drastically superior form. Campelos's side will try to avoid another heavy defeat but it is hard to see anything other than a comprehensive victory for Lage's title chasers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 75.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for AVS had a probability of 8.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.3%) and 0-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for an AVS win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AVS | Draw | Benfica |
8.81% ( -0.09) | 15.27% ( -0.22) | 75.93% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
