Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
53.54% ( 0.07) | 25.64% ( -0.06) | 20.82% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 45.27% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.08% ( 0.19) | 56.92% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.17% ( 0.15) | 77.83% ( -0.16) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( 0.11) | 21.32% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.73% ( 0.16) | 54.27% ( -0.17) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.53% ( 0.1) | 42.46% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.16% ( 0.08) | 78.83% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 13.99% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.53% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 44 |
2 | Benfica | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 11 | 31 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 14 | 27 | 40 |
4 | Braga | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 31 |
6 | Casa Pia | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 26 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 23 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 21 |
11 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 20 |
13 | Nacional | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 16 |
15 | AroucaArouca | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 16 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 15 |
17 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |