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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
52.51% ( -0.36) | 21.77% ( 0.15) | 25.72% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 63.55% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.43% ( -0.52) | 35.57% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.37% ( -0.58) | 57.63% ( 0.58) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.23% ( -0.29) | 13.77% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.93% ( -0.58) | 41.07% ( 0.58) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.7% ( -0.13) | 26.3% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.57% ( -0.17) | 61.43% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.91% Total : 52.51% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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