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Werder Bremen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Dortmund logo

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Dortmund

Njinmah (70')
Schmid (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Malen (21'), Sancho (38')
Schlotterbeck (78'), Adeyemi (90+5')
Sabitzer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, March 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Prior to their 1-0 win in the reverse fixture, Dortmund had scored at least two or more goals in each of their previous 11 meetings with Bremen, so they should be confident of breaching their backline once again on Saturday. Bremen cannot be taken lightly by BVB, though, as they have taken points from the likes of Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig this season, but we believe that the visitors will find a way to come out on top to boost their top-four hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund
26.36% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.63% (0.0019999999999989 0) 52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 64.74% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.7% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)34.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.2% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)25.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)59.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.48% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.5% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)40.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 26.36%
    Borussia Dortmund 52%
    Draw 21.63%
Werder BremenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.47%
1-0 @ 4.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.98%
3-1 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 1.49%
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 26.36%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 3.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 9.4%
0-2 @ 6.81%
0-1 @ 6.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 6.28%
0-3 @ 4.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 3.15%
0-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 2.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.26%
3-4 @ 1%
0-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 52%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Dortmund

Werder Bremen
21.6%
Draw
24.3%
Borussia Dortmund
54.1%
74
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Dortmund
1-0
Werder Bremen
Brandt (67')
Nmecha (44')

Bittencourt (61'), Stage (75'), Veljkovic (83'), Deman (90+4'), Ducksch (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Werder Bremen
0-2
Dortmund
Bynoe-Gittens (67'), Brandt (84')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
2-3
Werder Bremen
Brandt (45+2'), Guerreiro (77')
Modeste (39'), Can (42'), Wolf (83'), Reus (90+1')
Buchanan (89'), Schmidt (90+3'), Burke (90+5')
Fullkrug (29')
> Preview
Apr 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Dortmund
4-1
Werder Bremen
Reyna (29'), Braut Haaland (34' pen., 38'), Hummels (87')
Dahoud (48')
Rashica (14')
Friedl (60'), Veljkovic (66'), Gross (77'), Moisander (85')
> Preview
Dec 15, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Werder Bremen
1-2
Dortmund
Mohwald (28')
Gross (54'), Woltemade (87'), Schmid (90+2')
Guerreiro (12'), Reus (78')
Reus (35'), Witsel (60')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310
> Bundesliga Full Table


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