We say: Brentford 1-3 Manchester City
No team in the Premier League has lost more games after scoring first than Brentford this season (five), while Man City have won more matches after going behind (four) than any of their top-flight rivals.
As such, even if Frank's men can repeat their one-minute Wissa trick from September's head-to-head, the outcome should be the same, as the born-again champions continue on their upward path.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.92%. A win for Brentford has a probability of 21.43% and a draw has a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (7.12%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brentford win is 2-1 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.2%).