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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Manchester City logo

Brentford
vs.
Man City

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brentford could line up for Tuesday's Premier League clash with Manchester City.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Manchester City's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Premier League clash with Brentford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup

We say: Brentford 1-3 Manchester City

No team in the Premier League has lost more games after scoring first than Brentford this season (five), while Man City have won more matches after going behind (four) than any of their top-flight rivals. As such, even if Frank's men can repeat their one-minute Wissa trick from September's head-to-head, the outcome should be the same, as the born-again champions continue on their upward path. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 58.92%. A win for Brentford has a probability of 21.43% and a draw has a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (7.12%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Brentford win is 2-1 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.2%).

Result
BrentfordDrawManchester City
21.43% (3.184 3.18) 19.65% (1.442 1.44) 58.92% (-4.624 -4.62)
Both teams to score 65.95% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.87% (-2.181 -2.18)30.13% (2.183 2.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.65% (-2.668 -2.67)51.35% (2.67 2.67)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (1.492 1.49)26.56% (-1.489 -1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (1.936 1.94)61.76% (-1.936 -1.94)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.79% (-1.696 -1.7)10.2% (1.697 1.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.5% (-4.024 -4.02)33.5% (4.025 4.03)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 21.43%
    Manchester City 58.92%
    Draw 19.65%
BrentfordDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 5.44% (0.686 0.69)
1-0 @ 3.59% (0.56 0.56)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.261 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.4% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 2.38% (0.454 0.45)
3-0 @ 1.05% (0.236 0.24)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 21.43%
1-1 @ 8.2% (0.726 0.73)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 2.71% (0.324 0.32)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 19.65%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.148 0.15)
1-3 @ 7.12% (-0.446 -0.45)
0-2 @ 7.06% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-1 @ 6.19% (0.305 0.31)
0-3 @ 5.37% (-0.582 -0.58)
2-3 @ 4.72% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 4.06% (-0.599 -0.6)
0-4 @ 3.06% (-0.602 -0.6)
2-4 @ 2.69% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-5 @ 1.85% (-0.443 -0.44)
0-5 @ 1.4% (-0.409 -0.41)
2-5 @ 1.23% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-4 @ 1.19% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 58.92%

Who will win Tuesday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Man City?

Brentford
Draw
Manchester City
Brentford
31.7%
Draw
12.7%
Manchester City
55.6%
63
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 4
Man City
2-1
Brentford
Haaland (19', 32')
Kovacic (42'), Savio (47'), Stones (79')
Wissa (1')
Collins (82')
Feb 20, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 18
Man City
1-0
Brentford
Haaland (71')
Stones (45+2'), Walker (82')

Mee (45+2'), Wissa (60'), Toney (68'), Flekken (90+6')
Feb 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Brentford
1-3
Man City
Maupay (21')
Maupay (31')
Foden (45+3', 53', 70')
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Brentford
1-0
Man City
Pinnock (85')
Wissa (55'), Frank (57'), Damsgaard (65'), Janelt (77'), Jorgensen (84')
Nov 12, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 16
Man City
1-2
Brentford
Foden (45+1')
Toney (16', 90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest20124429191040
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2044123145-1416
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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