Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 78.9%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Everton had a probability of 7.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.01%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.