Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.07%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.