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Premier League | Gameweek 14
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
Chelsea logo

Brighton
4 - 1
Chelsea

Trossard (5'), Loftus-Cheek (14' og.), Chalobah (42' og.), Gross (90+2')
Enciso (83')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Havertz (48')
Kovacic (11'), Sterling (50')

The Match

Team News

Kai Havertz gets the nod over Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang for Chelsea's Premier League fixture at Brighton & Hove Albion.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Chelsea could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash against Brighton & Hove Albion at the Amex Stadium.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Chelsea's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 3-1 Brighton
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Salzburg 1-2 Chelsea
Tuesday, October 25 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 Chelsea

Four of the last five encounters between the sides have ended in draws and both have suffered from profligacy in front of goal recently. Excluding Brighton's 5-2 win over Leicester here, the other four games at the Amex so far this season have yielded just two goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 23.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawChelsea
23.42% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.94% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 50.64% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.4% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.23% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.76% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.9% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)39.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.18% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.82% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.01% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)55.33% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 23.42%
    Chelsea 50.63%
    Draw 25.93%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 8.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 5.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.36%
3-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.42%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 8.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 13.02%
0-2 @ 9.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-3 @ 2.19%
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 50.63%

How you voted: Brighton vs Chelsea

Brighton & Hove Albion
Draw
Chelsea
Brighton & Hove Albion
15.2%
Draw
21.2%
Chelsea
63.5%
433
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 8pm
Brighton
1-1
Chelsea
Webster (60')
Burn (80')
Ziyech (28')
Alonso (59'), Rudiger (81')
Dec 29, 2021 7.30pm
Chelsea
1-1
Brighton
Lukaku (28')
Rudiger (41'), Kovacic (58'), Hudson-Odoi (64'), Mount (81')
Welbeck (90+1')
Bissouma (81')
Apr 20, 2021 8pm
Chelsea
0-0
Brighton

Jorginho (35'), Zouma (35')

White (73')
White (90+2')
Sep 14, 2020 8.15pm
Brighton
1-3
Chelsea
Trossard (54')
Lamptey (81')
Jorginho (23' pen.), James (56'), Zouma (66')
Aug 29, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool20145148202847
2Arsenal21127241192243
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest21125430201041
4Newcastle UnitedNewcastle21115537221538
5Chelsea21107441261537
6Manchester CityMan City2110563829935
7Aston Villa2110563132-135
8Bournemouth219753225734
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2171043229331
10Fulham217953230230
11Brentford218494037328
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd217592629-326
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham217592741-1426
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs21731143321124
15Crystal Palace215972328-524
16Everton203891526-1117
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2144133148-1716
18Ipswich TownIpswich2137112037-1716
19Leicester CityLeicester2135132346-2314
20Southampton2113171347-346


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