Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
32.21% ( -0.42) | 23.65% ( 0.04) | 44.14% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 61.49% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.68% ( -0.34) | 40.32% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.31% ( -0.35) | 62.69% ( 0.35) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( -0.41) | 24.48% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.08% ( -0.58) | 58.92% ( 0.59) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.42% ( 0.03) | 18.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.15% ( 0.05) | 49.85% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.21% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 44.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 30 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 28 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 24 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
11 | Brentford | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 23 |
12 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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