Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Burnley win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
32.21% ( -0.42) | 23.65% ( 0.04) | 44.14% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 61.49% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.68% ( -0.34) | 40.32% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.31% ( -0.35) | 62.69% ( 0.35) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.52% ( -0.41) | 24.48% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.08% ( -0.58) | 58.92% ( 0.59) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.42% ( 0.03) | 18.58% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.15% ( 0.05) | 49.85% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.21% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 44.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
> Premier League Full Table |