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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Wycombe Wanderers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wycombe Wanderers.
Result | ||
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
32.77% ( 0.11) | 27.43% ( -0.04) | 39.8% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 49.11% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.57% ( 0.17) | 56.43% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.56% ( 0.14) | 77.44% ( -0.13) |
Bristol Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.94% ( 0.16) | 32.06% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.47% ( 0.18) | 68.53% ( -0.17) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.29% ( 0.05) | 27.72% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.72% ( 0.06) | 63.28% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Bristol Rovers | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 32.76% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 23 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 53 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Wrexham | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 47 |
5 | Barnsley | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 42 |
6 | Reading | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 37 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 37 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
13 | Stevenage | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 31 |
15 | Blackpool | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 30 |
16 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 28 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 26 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 25 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 25 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 24 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |