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League One
Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Keillor-Dunn (11'), Phillips (65')
Earl (57'), Roberts (90+6'), O'Keeffe (90+2'), Connell (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sotiriou (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Bristol Rovers

 Barnsley head into the weekend short on attacking options, and while they have made a strong start under Darrell Clarke, we anticipate them being held by a Bristol Rovers side with momentum of their own. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
40.94% (-0.426 -0.43) 25.39% (-0.208 -0.21) 33.66% (0.633 0.63)
Both teams to score 55.88% (0.884 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (1.065 1.07)47.87% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.972 0.97)70.05% (-0.973 -0.97)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (0.255 0.25)23.21% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (0.371 0.37)57.11% (-0.372 -0.37)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (0.913 0.91)27.23% (-0.914 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35% (1.173 1.17)62.65% (-1.175 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 40.94%
    Bristol Rovers 33.66%
    Draw 25.38%
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.343 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
64.6%
Draw
27.1%
Bristol Rovers
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Barnsley
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Cole (43'), O'Keeffe (73')
McAtee (21'), Durand de Gevigney (67'), Kane (79')
Martin (68')
Evans (90+6')
> Preview
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Barnsley
Sinclair (81')
Cadden (7')
Cotter (23'), Russell (63'), Kane (82')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Bristol Rovers
0-0
Barnsley
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Barnsley
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Cole (3'), Williams (13'), Benson (56')

Finley (35'), Coutts (35'), Connolly (58')
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Barnsley
Rodman (71', 92')
Upson (77')
Moore (12')
Lindsay (37'), Mowatt (56')
Lindsay (44')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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