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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Keillor-Dunn (11'), Phillips (65')
Earl (57'), Roberts (90+6'), O'Keeffe (90+2'), Connell (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sotiriou (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 0-3 Barnsley
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Barnsley head into the weekend short on attacking options, and while they have made a strong start under Darrell Clarke, we anticipate them being held by a Bristol Rovers side with momentum of their own. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
40.94% (-0.426 -0.43) 25.39% (-0.208 -0.21) 33.66% (0.633 0.63)
Both teams to score 55.88% (0.884 0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (1.065 1.07)47.87% (-1.067 -1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (0.972 0.97)70.05% (-0.973 -0.97)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (0.255 0.25)23.21% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (0.371 0.37)57.11% (-0.372 -0.37)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (0.913 0.91)27.23% (-0.914 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35% (1.173 1.17)62.65% (-1.175 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 40.94%
    Bristol Rovers 33.66%
    Draw 25.38%
BarnsleyDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.343 -0.34)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.74% (-0.197 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.28% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 5.35% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.135 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3%
Total : 33.66%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Bristol Rovers

Barnsley
64.6%
Draw
27.1%
Bristol Rovers
8.3%
48
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Barnsley
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Cole (43'), O'Keeffe (73')
McAtee (21'), Durand de Gevigney (67'), Kane (79')
Martin (68')
Evans (90+6')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Barnsley
Sinclair (81')
Cadden (7')
Cotter (23'), Russell (63'), Kane (82')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Barnsley
3-0
Bristol Rovers
Cole (3'), Williams (13'), Benson (56')

Finley (35'), Coutts (35'), Connolly (58')
May 4, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-1
Barnsley
Rodman (71', 92')
Upson (77')
Moore (12')
Lindsay (37'), Mowatt (56')
Lindsay (44')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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