Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 47.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 26.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.