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League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Peterborough
3 - 2
Bristol Rovers

Poku (10'), Jade-Jones (33'), Mothersille (63')
Collins (36'), Fernandez (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
McCormick (75'), O'Donkor (76')
Mola (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-4 Wigan
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Bristol Rovers

 Peterborough's home form appears to be something of an anomaly given their stellar results on the road so far this season, and considering the Posh won both of their encounters against Bristol Rovers 2-0 last season, recent history is also on their side. While the Pirates will be hoping to bounce back after consecutive league defeats, we expect Peterborough to have too much on the day for their opponents and ascend towards the playoff places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
52.4% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 22.52% (-0.114 -0.11) 25.08% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.587 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.692 0.69)39.75% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.716 0.72)62.1% (-0.718 -0.72)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (0.227 0.23)15.27% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (0.425 0.42)43.97% (-0.428 -0.43)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.502 0.5)29.01% (-0.505 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (0.619 0.62)64.91% (-0.621 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 52.4%
    Bristol Rovers 25.08%
    Draw 22.52%
Peterborough UnitedDrawBristol Rovers
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.32% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.06% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.048 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 52.4%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.071 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.145 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.63% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 25.08%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Bristol Rovers

Peterborough United
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Bristol Rovers
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Peterborough

Thomas (45+2'), Hoole (69')
Randall (41'), Jade-Jones (90+5')
Knight (90')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Peterborough
2-0
Bristol Rovers
Collins (26'), Ajiboye (47')
Collins (15'), Jade-Jones (32'), Knight (54'), Kyprianou (62'), Ajiboye (77')

Evans (56'), Taylor (74')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Peterborough
0-0
Bristol Rovers
> Preview
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Peterborough
Sinclair (53')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Third Round
Peterborough
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Szmodics (20'), Mumba (63')
Norburn (79')
Coutts (30' pen.)
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815
> League One Full Table


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