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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria national football team
Nations League | League C
Oct 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Hristo Botev
Luxembourg national football team

Bulgaria
0 - 0
Luxembourg


Kolev (4'), Antov (20'), Petkov (45'), Atanasov (51'), Nurnberger (60'), Kostadinov (64')
FT

Curci (18'), da Graca (28'), Martins Pereira (36'), Carlson (38'), Bohnert (51'), Rodrigues (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Bulgaria and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bulgaria

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Bulgaria 1-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League

Luxembourg

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Belarus
Sunday, September 8 at 2pm in Nations League

We said: Bulgaria 1-0 Luxembourg

 Bulgaria could keep their positive run going this weekend, as Luxembourg tend to boss possession without fully punishing their opponents. Furthermore, the visitors have not only kept just one clean sheet in 12 matches, but they have also lost all four away games this year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
BulgariaDrawLuxembourg
58.47% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 24.47% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 17.06% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 42.64% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.92% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)78.08% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (0.029000000000011 0.03)19.48% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (0.045000000000002 0.05)51.34% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.95% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)47.05% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.47% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)82.53% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 58.46%
    Luxembourg 17.06%
    Draw 24.47%
BulgariaDrawLuxembourg
1-0 @ 14.99% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 12.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.16% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.61% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 17.06%

How you voted: Bulgaria vs Luxembourg

Bulgaria
84.1%
Draw
10.6%
Luxembourg
5.3%
113
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2022 2pm
International Friendly
Luxembourg
0-0
Bulgaria
> Preview
Oct 10, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Luxembourg
1-1
Bulgaria
Thill (3')
Chochev (68')
Sep 6, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Bulgaria
4-3
Luxembourg
Rangelov (16'), Marcelino (65'), Popov (79'), Tonev (92')
Joachim (60', 62'), Bohnert (91')
rhs 2.0
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