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Coppa Italia | Second Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cremonese

Cagliari
1 - 0
Cremonese

Lapadula (60')
Luis Palomino (41'), Zappa (62'), Viola (73')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pickel (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Cagliari and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cagliari 0-2 Empoli
Friday, September 20 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Catanzaro 1-2 Cremonese
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Cagliari 1-0 Cremonese

It may be a close contest between one team struggling in Serie A and another faring well in Italy's second tier, but Cagliari should come out on top and secure progress in the Coppa Italia. While Cremonese are in good form, the hosts have plenty of experienced pros who can help steady the ship with an overdue home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 48.59%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cagliari in this match.

Result
CagliariDrawCremonese
25.8% (-0.055 -0.05) 25.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 48.59% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.49% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)74.17% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)35.26% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.98% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)72.02% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.37% (0.033000000000001 0.03)21.62% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.26% (0.052 0.05)54.74% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 25.8%
    Cremonese 48.58%
    Draw 25.6%
CagliariDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.14% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 25.8%
1-1 @ 12.17%
0-0 @ 7.63% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.94% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.56% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 48.58%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Cremonese

Cagliari
76.9%
Draw
3.8%
Cremonese
19.2%
52
rhs 2.0
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