Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
We said: Lille 2-1 Lyon
Despite an underwhelming recent record in this fixture, Lille have not lost back-to-back home games against Lyon since the mid-2000s, and will be the favourites given their form of late.
Lyon have stuttered again after appearing to turn a corner, and this will be a very difficult fixture in which to return to winning ways.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.6% . A win for Lyon had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (6%) . The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood .
Result Lille Draw Lyon 41.6% ( -0.01) 23.79% ( 0) 34.61% ( 0)
Both teams to score 61.85% ( -0)
59.79% ( -0.01) 40.2% ( 0)
37.43% ( -0) 62.57% ( 0)
80.38% ( -0.01) 19.62% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.43% ( -0.01) 51.57% ( 0.01)
76.94% 23.05% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 43.12% ( 0) 56.88% ( -0)
Lille 41.6%
Lyon 34.61%
Draw 23.78%
Lille Draw Lyon 2-1 @ 8.8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 41.6% 1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.46% 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78% 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.16% 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.61%
How you voted: Lille vs Lyon
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