Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff1 - 2Burnley
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-0 Cardiff
Friday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup
Friday, February 28 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Preston 3-0 Burnley
Saturday, March 1 at 12.15pm in FA Cup
Saturday, March 1 at 12.15pm in FA Cup
We said: Cardiff City 0-1 Burnley
Cardiff are likely to be difficult to beat considering their strong record at home, and Tuesday's game may be low scoring. Burnley will want to bounce back from their disappointing defeat against Preston, and if they find the back of the net first, it would be surprising if they lost their lead given their defensive performances in recent months. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Burnley |
31.17% ( 1.62) | 29.5% ( 1.05) | 39.33% ( -2.68) |
| Both teams to score 42.91% ( -2.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.07% ( -3) | 63.92% ( 2.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.87% ( -2.19) | 83.13% ( 2.19) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.8% ( -0.4) | 37.19% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.02% ( -0.4) | 73.98% ( 0.39) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.32% ( -3.04) | 31.68% ( 3.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.9% ( -3.65) | 68.1% ( 3.65) |
| Score Analysis |
Cardiff City 31.16%
Burnley 39.32%
Draw 29.49%
| Cardiff City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 11.65% ( 1.12) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.79% Total : 31.16% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 11.78% ( 1.24)2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.49% | 0-1 @ 13.54% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.46)1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.54)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.45)1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.48)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.32% |
How you voted: Cardiff vs Burnley
Cardiff City
22.9%Draw
17.1%Burnley
60.0%105
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Burnley
5-0
Cardiff
Horvath (9' og.), Koleosho (31'), Brownhill (51'), Amdouni (88'), Berg Gudmundsson (90+2')
Foster (42'), Esteve (59')
Foster (42'), Esteve (59')
Ramsey (42')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Form Guide
