We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City
Cardiff may have lost back-to-back league games on the road, but crucially, they will have home advantage in their favour for Saturday's derby clash, and after winning their last two home matches, we think that the hosts will do enough to clinch all three points against Bristol City, especially as they have won three of their last four head-to-head meetings.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.