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Championship | Gameweek 33
Feb 15, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
1 - 1
Bristol City

Salech (90')
Mannsverk (36'), Goutas (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Knight (60')
Twine (22'), McCrorie (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Cardiff
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-0 Stoke
Wednesday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Bristol City

Cardiff may have lost back-to-back league games on the road, but crucially, they will have home advantage in their favour for Saturday's derby clash, and after winning their last two home matches, we think that the hosts will do enough to clinch all three points against Bristol City, especially as they have won three of their last four head-to-head meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
39.89% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 32.64% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.019999999999996 0.02)56.6% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.016000000000002 0.02)77.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)27.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68%63.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.24% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (0.027000000000001 0.03)68.73% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 39.88%
    Bristol City 32.63%
    Draw 27.47%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-0 @ 3.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 39.88%
1-1 @ 12.98%
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.12%
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
84.2%
Draw
5.3%
Bristol City
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bristol City
1-1
Cardiff
McNally (73')
McCrorie (49'), Sykes (90+2')
Tanner (54')
Ralls (65')
Mar 2, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 35
Bristol City
0-1
Cardiff

King (48'), Gardner-Hickman (76')
Ng (66')
Etete (15'), Wilson-Esbrand (67')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Cardiff
2-0
Bristol City
Ng (33'), Colwill (90+1')
Meite (54')

Dickie (9'), Mehmeti (45')
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 5
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds362210472234976
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd36246651272476
3Burnley362014249103974
4Sunderland361911654332168
5Coventry CityCoventry36168125246656
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom361316746321455
7Bristol City36131494639753
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn36157144137452
9Middlesbrough36148145547850
10Norwich CityNorwich361213115749849
11Watford36147154650-449
12Millwall361212123637-148
13Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds36139145056-648
14Queens Park RangersQPR361111144146-544
15Swansea CitySwansea36128163846-844
16Preston North EndPreston36916113642-643
17Portsmouth36119164457-1342
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd36912153753-1639
19Hull City36910173645-937
20Stoke CityStoke36812163650-1436
21Cardiff CityCardiff36812163959-2036
22Derby CountyDerby3688203549-1432
23Luton TownLuton3687213259-2731
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth36612183673-3730


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