Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Derby County has a probability of 28.84% and a draw has a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Derby County win is 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.79%).