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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Cardiff City logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Cardiff

Brownhill (27'), Barnes (31'), Twine (57')
Roberts (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romeo (64'), Ng (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Huddersfield
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Cardiff City

Basing this on each team's last respective performances, one team will be motivated and the other less so. With that in mind, we expect the Clarets to cruise to a comfortable win, crowning their promotion campaign in the style in which it has been achieved. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 11.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
69.01% (1.17 1.17) 19.05% (-0.385 -0.38) 11.94% (-0.787 -0.79)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-1.151 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.24% (-0.239 -0.24)45.75% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-0.227 -0.23)68.07% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.256 0.26)12.15% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.25% (0.542 0.54)37.75% (-0.544 -0.54)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.39% (-1.465 -1.47)47.61% (1.463 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.06% (-1.11 -1.11)82.94% (1.109 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69%
    Cardiff City 11.94%
    Draw 19.05%
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
2-0 @ 12.84% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 12.19% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.105 -0.1)
3-0 @ 9.03% (0.357 0.36)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.234 0.23)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 69%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.05%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 11.94%

How you voted: Burnley vs Cardiff

Burnley
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cardiff City
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Cardiff
1-1
Burnley
Robinson (90')
Nkounkou (32')
Tella (48')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
gameweek 34
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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