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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Cardiff City logo

Burnley
3 - 0
Cardiff

Brownhill (27'), Barnes (31'), Twine (57')
Roberts (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romeo (64'), Ng (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Burnley and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Burnley
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Huddersfield
Sunday, April 30 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-0 Cardiff City

Basing this on each team's last respective performances, one team will be motivated and the other less so. With that in mind, we expect the Clarets to cruise to a comfortable win, crowning their promotion campaign in the style in which it has been achieved. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 69.01%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 11.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
69.01% (1.17 1.17) 19.05% (-0.385 -0.38) 11.94% (-0.787 -0.79)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-1.151 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.24% (-0.239 -0.24)45.75% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.93% (-0.227 -0.23)68.07% (0.22499999999999 0.22)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (0.256 0.26)12.15% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.25% (0.542 0.54)37.75% (-0.544 -0.54)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.39% (-1.465 -1.47)47.61% (1.463 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.06% (-1.11 -1.11)82.94% (1.109 1.11)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 69%
    Cardiff City 11.94%
    Draw 19.05%
BurnleyDrawCardiff City
2-0 @ 12.84% (0.38 0.38)
1-0 @ 12.19% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.105 -0.1)
3-0 @ 9.03% (0.357 0.36)
3-1 @ 6.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.76% (0.234 0.23)
4-1 @ 3.53% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.01% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 69%
1-1 @ 9.05% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 19.05%
0-1 @ 4.29% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.216 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.59% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 11.94%

How you voted: Burnley vs Cardiff

Burnley
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cardiff City
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 12
Cardiff
1-1
Burnley
Robinson (90')
Nkounkou (32')
Tella (48')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
gameweek 34
Burnley
2-0
Cardiff
Wood (31', 92')
Tarkowski (42'), Barnes (45')

Bennett (45'), Arter (50'), Peltier (50'), Camarasa (82')
Sep 30, 2018 4pm
gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Burnley
Murphy (60')
Cunningham (69')
Berg Gudmundsson (51'), Vokes (70')
Westwood (45'), Lowton (87'), Lennon (90')
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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