Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.