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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Barrow | Draw | Mansfield Town |
30.87% ( 0.01) | 26.04% ( -0) | 43.08% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.73% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.5% ( 0.01) | 51.5% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.7% ( 0.01) | 73.3% ( -0.01) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.14% ( 0.01) | 30.85% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.86% ( 0.02) | 67.13% ( -0.01) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( 0) | 23.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% | 57.88% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Barrow | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 34 |
2 | Walsall | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 30 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
5 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 26 |
8 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
13 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 18 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
20 | Bromley | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 17 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 17 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 30 | -15 | 14 |
23 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
24 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |