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Europa League
Celje
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Shamrock Rovers

Celje
1 - 0
Shamrock

Menalo (34')
Zec (75'), Aarons (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Watts (30'), Honohan (65'), Pohls (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Celje and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Last Game: NS Mura 1-0 Celje
Saturday, August 3 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Waterford 1-2 Shamrock
Friday, August 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Celje 1-1 Shamrock Rovers

 With both teams keen to remain in the tie heading into next week's second leg, a tight affair could be played out on Thursday. Celje have suffered a dip in form in recent weeks, but they may do just enough to claim a share of the spoils against a Shamrock Rovers outfit who have won just two of their last 10 away games in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.42%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celje in this match.

Result
CeljeDrawShamrock Rovers
51.42% (-0.115 -0.12) 24.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 24.56% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.5% (0.143 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (0.129 0.13)46.97% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.78% (0.12 0.12)69.22% (-0.12 -0.12)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (0.012 0.01)49.32% (-0.012 -0.01)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (0.17100000000001 0.17)33.32% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (0.186 0.19)69.94% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Celje 51.42%
    Shamrock Rovers 24.56%
    Draw 24.01%
CeljeDrawShamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.98% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 51.42%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.01%
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.68% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 24.56%

How you voted: Celje vs Shamrock

Celje
60.4%
Draw
24.5%
Shamrock Rovers
15.1%
53
rhs 2.0
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