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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Dec 31, 2024 at 8am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Melbourne City

Central Coast
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Paull (68')
Sainsbury (32'), Theoharous (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Souprayen (33')
Trewin (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 1-4 Auckland FC
Saturday, December 28 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 1-2 Melbourne City

Central Coast's defensive struggles at home may prove costly against a Melbourne City side unbeaten on the road, and with the visitors' strong away form and the Mariners seeking stability, a closely fought contest could end in a narrow City victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne City
27.02% (-0.368 -0.37) 21.67% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1) 51.31% (0.46899999999999 0.47)
Both teams to score 65.25% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.1% (0.175 0.17)33.89% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.25% (0.198 0.2)55.74% (-0.197 -0.2)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (-0.152 -0.15)24.51% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.02% (-0.214 -0.21)58.98% (0.215 0.21)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (0.20999999999999 0.21)13.56% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.35% (0.416 0.42)40.65% (-0.416 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 27.02%
    Melbourne City 51.31%
    Draw 21.67%
Central Coast MarinersDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 6.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.67% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 3.29% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 27.02%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.56% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.64% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 6.21% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.42% (0.061 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.37% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 3.1% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.21% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.18% (0.028 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.24% (0.03 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.02% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 51.31%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Melbourne City

Central Coast Mariners
25.0%
Draw
14.3%
Melbourne City
60.7%
28
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2024 9am
Gameweek 21
Central Coast
2-1
Melbourne City
Torres (54' pen.), Balard (90+3')
Roux (27')
Arslan (50')
Lopane (18')
Jan 21, 2024 7am
Gameweek 13
Central Coast
2-1
Melbourne City
Theoharous (50'), Torres (88')
Theoharous (40'), Hall (90+10'), Vukovic (90+10'), Hall (90+9')
Roux (90+10')
Ugarkovic (79')
Good (33'), Talbot (56'), Ugarkovic (84'), Arslan (90+10'), Antonis (90+10')
Dec 17, 2023 6am
Gameweek 8
Melbourne City
3-3
Central Coast
Jakolis (2'), Arslan (63'), Lopane (90+2')
Souprayen (14'), Vidmar (67'), Behich (89')
Torres (49', 60', 82')
Tulio (41'), Roux (66'), Kuol (89')
Jun 3, 2023 10.45am
Melbourne City
1-6
Central Coast
Van der Venne (40')
Reis (45'), Tilio (79')
Cummings (20', 65', 73'), Silvera (34'), N'Kololo (83'), Moresche (90+1')
Triantis (51'), Tulio (89'), Moresche (90+2')
Apr 15, 2023 8am
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