Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 27.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
27.02% ( -0.37) | 21.67% ( -0.1) | 51.31% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 65.25% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.1% ( 0.17) | 33.89% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.25% ( 0.2) | 55.74% ( -0.2) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.48% ( -0.15) | 24.51% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.02% ( -0.21) | 58.98% ( 0.21) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.44% ( 0.21) | 13.56% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.35% ( 0.42) | 40.65% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.02% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 51.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 23 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
3 | Macarthur | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 18 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 15 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 14 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
10 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 30 | -23 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 2 |
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