Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Auckland FC |
70.49% (![]() | 16.9% (![]() | 12.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.95% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.09% (![]() | 33.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.24% (![]() | 55.75% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.43% (![]() | 8.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.37% (![]() | 29.62% (![]() |
Auckland FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.19% (![]() | 38.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.46% (![]() | 75.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Auckland FC |
2-0 @ 10.03% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.5% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.22% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 70.49% | 1-1 @ 7.73% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.9% | 1-2 @ 3.66% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 1.73% Total : 12.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |