Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 38.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.87%) and 0-2 (4.95%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
38.3% ( -0.34) | 22.81% ( 0.23) | 38.89% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 66.14% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.18% ( -1.18) | 34.82% ( 1.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.21% ( -1.33) | 56.79% ( 1.33) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% ( -0.66) | 18.8% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.77% ( -1.11) | 50.22% ( 1.11) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.46% ( -0.46) | 18.54% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.21% ( -0.78) | 49.78% ( 0.78) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.72% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.8% Total : 38.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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