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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 6, 2024 at 8.35am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Melbourne City

Brisbane Roar
1 - 4
Melbourne City

O'Shea (77' pen.)
Van Der Saag (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kuen (1'), Cohen (18', 70'), Ugarkovic (82')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Macarthur 4-4 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 30 at 8.35am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 30 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.38%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.68%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
25.59% (-0.25 -0.25) 20.02% (-0.061 -0.06) 54.38% (0.307 0.31)
Both teams to score 70.14% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.99% (0.057000000000002 0.06)27.01% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.5% (0.075000000000003 0.08)47.5% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.127 -0.13)21.75% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.07% (-0.192 -0.19)54.93% (0.188 0.19)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.64% (0.096000000000004 0.1)10.36% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.15% (0.22 0.22)33.85% (-0.224 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 25.59%
    Melbourne City 54.38%
    Draw 20.02%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 5.95% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-0 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 25.59%
1-1 @ 7.79% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.02%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.68% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 5.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.38% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 3.78% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.89% (0.015 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.48% (0.031 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.72% (0.023 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.47% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.31% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.13% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 54.38%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 7am
Gameweek 16
Brisbane Roar
5-1
Melbourne City
Trewin (2'), Waddingham (30', 46'), O'Shea (33'), Jelacic (39')
Hore (10'), Freke (88')
Antonis (73')
Galloway (62')
Dec 28, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 10
Melbourne City
8-1
Brisbane Roar
Good (10'), MacLaren (14', 34', 58'), Natel (48', 70'), Arslan (76'), Mazzeo (85')
Sakhi (45+3')
Brownlie (62')
Mar 12, 2023 4am
Jan 21, 2023 8.45am
Oct 14, 2022 9.45am
rhs 2.0
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