Changchun

1 - 2

Sh. Shenhua

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 50.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.