Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Saturday, May 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
We said: Chelsea Women 2-0 Aston Villa Women
Villa have made an effort to strengthen their side over the summer and their new-look squad could offer Chelsea a tough test, but we still believe that the Blues will have the extra quality required to claim maximum points in Bompastor's first competitive game in charge. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
67.37% ( -0.83) | 17.72% ( 0.25) | 14.91% ( 0.59) |
Both teams to score 59.7% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.73% ( 0.09) | 32.26% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.13% ( 0.1) | 53.87% ( -0.1) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.16% ( -0.16) | 8.83% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.72% ( -0.39) | 30.27% ( 0.4) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.48% ( 0.81) | 34.51% ( -0.81) |