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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea Women
0 - 2
Barcelona


Buchanan (54'), Charles (87')
Buchanan (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonmati (25'), Rolfo (75' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 0-1 Chelsea Women
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Barcelona 0-1 Chelsea Women
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 1-1 Barcelona Women

Barcelona will be highly motivated to produce a response following the first-leg defeat, and while we expect the European champions to produce an improved display, we think that they could be held to a draw by a resolute Chelsea side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 48.63%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
27.94% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 23.43% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 48.63% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.65% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.39% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)41.6% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.99% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)64% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.13% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)27.87% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.52% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)63.47% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)17.3% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)47.65% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 27.94%
    Barcelona Women 48.63%
    Draw 23.42%
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.16% (0.018 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.94% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 27.94%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 9.48% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.46% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 5.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 48.63%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Barcelona

Chelsea Women
60.0%
Draw
6.7%
Barcelona Women
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 12.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Barcelona
0-1
Chelsea Women

Guijarro (79'), Paredes (83')
Cuthbert (40')
Apr 27, 2023 5.45pm
Apr 22, 2023 12.30pm
May 16, 2021 8pm
Final
Chelsea Women
0-4
Barcelona

Ingle (38')
Leupolz (1' og.), Putellas (14' pen.), Bonmati (21'), Graham Hansen (36')
Ouahabi (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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