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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
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Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
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Grimsby Town
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Salford City
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Notts County

Cheltenham
3 - 5
Notts County

Stubbs (4'), Bowman (47'), Colwill (60')
John Flynn (29'), Payne (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Jatta (26', 90+3'), Martin (39'), Abbott (58'), Austin (62')
Palmer (28'), Hinchy (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Crewe
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 0-2 Notts County
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Notts County

Cheltenham are getting their act together, and we have confidence they will continue to ride their strong home form to another three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawNotts County
39.46% (0.112 0.11) 25.22% (0.041 0.04) 35.33% (-0.148 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.83% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.21% (-0.21 -0.21)46.79% (0.214 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.95% (-0.196 -0.2)69.05% (0.2 0.2)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)23.48% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.49% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)57.51% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.27% (-0.187 -0.19)25.73% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.35% (-0.251 -0.25)60.65% (0.25700000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.46%
    Notts County 35.33%
    Draw 25.21%
Cheltenham TownDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 8.75% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.34% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.46%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.57% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 35.33%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Notts County

Cheltenham Town
34.0%
Draw
21.3%
Notts County
44.7%
47
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cheltenham
4-1
Notts County
Boyle (29'), Varney (36' pen.), Waters (55'), Barnett (88')
Hemmings (69' pen.)
Rose (72')
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 18
Notts County
0-3
Cheltenham

Hawkridge (42'), Turley (72')
Varney (35', 65'), Barnett (87')
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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