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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Technique Stadium
Swindon Town

Chesterfield
1 - 1
Swindon

Dobra (15')
Cook (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wright (64')
King (17'), Cotterill (42'), Smith (55'), Wright (66'), Clarke (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Scunthorpe 0-3 Chesterfield
Friday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Chesterfield 1-1 Swindon Town

Chesterfield will be full of confidence after their strong showing in the National League last season, but they could take some time to settle into their new division. Swindon's poor away record suggests that victory is unlikely, but with a new manager and many new signings, they could prove difficult to beat on Friday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawSwindon Town
37.18% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65) 23.19% (-0.219 -0.22) 39.63% (0.87 0.87)
Both teams to score 64.56% (0.817 0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.15% (1.074 1.07)36.85% (-1.076 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.97% (1.156 1.16)59.02% (-1.158 -1.16)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.78% (0.16200000000001 0.16)20.21% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.256 0.26)52.53% (-0.258 -0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.85900000000001 0.86)19.08% (-0.861 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (1.405 1.41)50.68% (-1.406 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 37.18%
    Swindon Town 39.63%
    Draw 23.19%
ChesterfieldDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.298 -0.3)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.05% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 37.18%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 6.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.058 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.67% (0.156 0.16)
2-3 @ 3.74% (0.143 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.083 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.114 0.11)
2-4 @ 1.55% (0.099 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 39.63%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Swindon

Chesterfield
62.8%
Draw
4.7%
Swindon Town
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Chesterfield
2-1
Swindon
O'Grady (2'), Kellett (51')
Reed (82'), Barry (90')
Robertson (75')
Norris (78')
Banks (72')
Nov 11, 2017 3pm
Swindon
2-2
Chesterfield
Elsnik (47'), Norris (90' pen.)
Woolery (36'), Dunne (45')
Dennis (56'), McCourt (72')
Reed (63'), Maguire (89'), Dennis (90'), Evatt (95')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Aug 13, 2016 3pm
Chesterfield
3-1
Swindon
Liddle (22'), O'Shea (45' pen.), Evans (64')
Furlong (88')
Kasim (45'), Ormonde-Ottewill (60'), Sendles-White (84')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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