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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Swindon Town

Sutton
3 - 1
Swindon

Lakin (9'), Coley (48'), Smith (70')
Sowunmi (67'), Patrick (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (90+3')
Brewitt (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Sutton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-1 Notts County
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Swindon Town

 The hosts are on a better run of results heading into this one, and coupled with the added advantage of playing on home turf, we are backing them to come out on top at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawSwindon Town
46.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 23.71% (0.0030000000000001 0) 29.54% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.8% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)41.92% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)64.32% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)18.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)49.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)26.93% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)62.26% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 46.74%
    Swindon Town 29.54%
    Draw 23.71%
Sutton UnitedDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.34% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 7.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.52% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.71%
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 3.14% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 29.54%

How you voted: Sutton vs Swindon

Sutton United
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Swindon Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Swindon
5-3
Sutton
Young (5', 23'), Cain (16'), Kemp (65'), Hepburn-Murphy (87')
Godwin-Malife (85')
Clay (34'), Goodliffe (39'), Smith (77')
Gray (0'), Milsom (74'), Goodliffe (90+7')
> Preview
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Sutton
2-1
Swindon
Angol (85'), Smith (88')
Austin (14')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Swindon
3-2
Sutton
Shade (35'), Williams (38'), Wakeling (90+2')
Randall (4', 42')
Mar 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Swindon
2-1
Sutton
Davison (14'), McKirdy (49')
Reed (35'), Iandolo (63'), Davison (70')
Reed (90+3')
Kizzi (28')
Boldewijn (49'), Rowe (85')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Sutton
1-2
Swindon
Beautyman (39' pen.)
John (24'), Bugiel (60'), Barden (90+6')
Reed (17'), Williams (31')
McKirdy (87'), Crichlow (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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