Club Friendlies 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Technique Stadium
Chesterfield4 - 0Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chesterfield 0-3 Sheff Utd
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Stockport
Friday, July 19 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, July 19 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Chesterfield 1-3 Derby County
This should be a competitive contest between two well-backed sides. However, although Chesterfield may fare better than they have against other better-quality sides earlier in the month, we are still backing Derby to come out on top. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.77%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Derby County |
23.97% ( 0.14) | 23.26% ( 0.04) | 52.77% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 56.31% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.74% ( -0.05) | 44.26% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.37% ( -0.05) | 66.64% ( 0.05) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.66% ( 0.09) | 32.35% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.15% ( 0.1) | 68.86% ( -0.09) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.24% ( -0.08) | 16.77% ( 0.09) |